Eventos pasados | Universidad de los Andes

Presentación del IDB-CGD report Healthier Firms for a Stronger Recovery

Moderadora: Marcela Eslava (Universidad de los Andes) Panelistas: Andrew Powell (BID) Liliana Rojas-Suárez (Centro para el Desarrollo Global) Comentaristas: Federico Huneeus (Banco Central, Chile) Luis Fernando Mejía (Fedesarrollo)

05:30 pm

Universidad de los Andes

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XVI RIDGE Forums | Growth and Development in Macroeconomics

Scientific Committee Lorenzo Caliendo (Yale University) Julieta Caunedo (Toronto Rotman) German Cubas (University of Houston) Marcela Eslava (Universidad de Los Andes) Hugo Hopenhayn (University of California, Los Angeles) Omar Licandro (University of Nottingham and Barcelona GSE) José Pulido (Banco de la República) Natalia Ramondo (Boston University) Marla Ripoll (University of Pittsburgh) Diego Restuccia (University of Toronto) Keynote Speakers Samuel Kortum (Yale) Ellen McGrattan (Minnesota) WORKSHOP PROGRAM DECEMBER, TUESDAY 13 10:00 10:15 Registration 10:15 10:30 Opening Remarks: . 10:30 11:30 Keynote Speaker Chair: Lorenzo Caliendo TBA Samuel Kortum, Yale University 11:30 12:00 Coffee Break Session 2 12:00 13:30 Chair: German Cubas International Trade, Volatility, and Income Differences Roman Merga, U. of Rochester The Pro-competitive Effects of Trade in Frictional Labor Markets Hamid Firooz, University of Rochester 13:30 16:00 Lunch Session 3 16:00 17:30 Chair: Jose Pulido Temperature Shocks and Land Fragmentation: Evidence from Transaction and Property Registry Data Nicolas de Roux, U. de Los Andes (joint with J. Arteaga, M. Gafaro and A. M. I banez) Deforestation: A Global Dynamic Perspective Heitor Pellegrina, NYU Abu Dhabi (joint with S. Sotelo, F. Farrokhi and E. Kang) 18:00 Guided visit and coctail at Museo del Oro DECEMBER, WEDNESDAY 14 Session 4 09:30 11:00 Chair: Diego Restuccia Labor Market Power, Self-Employment, and Development Pamela Medina, University of Toronto (joint with F. Amodio and M. Morlacco) Cost of Size-dependent Regulation: The Role of Informality and Firm Heterogeneity Harun Alp, Federal Reserve Board (joint with U. Akcigit, Y.E. Akgunduz, S. M. Cilasun and J. M. Quintero) 11:00 11:30 Coffee Break Keynote Speaker 11:30 12:30 Chair: Hugo Hopenhayn TBA Ellen McGrattan, University of Minnesota Session 5 12:30 14:00 Chair: Small Teams in Big Cities: Are Technology Differences Across Cities Optimal? Clara Santamaria, Sciences Po Spatial Production Networks Federico Huneeus, Central Bank of Chile (joint with C. Arkolakis and Y. Miyauchi) 14:00 16:00 Lunch Session 6 16:00 17:30 Chair: Gender, Work and Structural Transformation Charles Gottlieb, University of St. Gallen (joint with M. Poschke, C. Doss and D. Gollin) Jobless Industrialization Luis Felipe Saenz, University of South Carolina (joint with L. Alfaro, M. Eslava and M. Mestieri) IDB Policy Panel 17:45 19:00 Chair: Marcela Eslava Launch of IADB report on Firms and Covid. Presenters: Andrew Powell (IDB) and Liliana Rojas-Suárez Comments: Federico Huneeus (Central Bank, Chile) and Luis Fernando Mejía (Fedesarrollo)

10:00 am

Universidad de los Andes - Universidad de los Andes, W Building

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XVI RIDGE Forums | Economic History

Scientific Committee Andrés Álvarez (Universidad de los Andes) Luis Bértola (Universidad de la República, Uruguay) José Antonio Ocampo (Columbia University) Keynote Speakers José Antonio Ocampo WORKSHOP PROGRAM Monday, December 12, 2022 8:50-09:15 Keynote speaker Professor Kaoru Sugihara (Kyoto University Center for Southeast Asian Studies) - Environmental Foundations of the Asian Path of Economic Development. 09:15-09:30 Introduction and game rules of the Workshop Luís Bertola (U de la República) and Andrés Álvarez (Uniandes). 09:30-11:00 Keynote speaker - José Antonio Ocampo (Ministro de hacienda y Crédito público de Colombia Columbia University). 11:00-11:30 Coffee Break 11:30-13:00 Cristian Ducoing (Lund U) - Tracing sustainability in the long run. Genuine Savings estimations 1850 2018. Rafael Torres (Uniandes) - Horsemen of the Apocalypse: the Mongol Empire and the Great Divergence. 13:00-14:00 Lunch break 14:00-15:30 Federico Sanz (U de la República) - Towards a new structural measurement of transnationalization in Latin America and the world. Andrés Irarrázaval (U de Chile) - The Fiscal Origins of Comparative Inequality levels: An Empirical and Historical Investigation. 15:30-15:45 Short Coffee Break 15:45-16:30 Daniel Seligson The Persistence of Inequality. Tuesday, December 13, 2022 9:00-10:30 Daniel Lasso (Uniandes) - Gender height dimorphism: An approximation of the living Standards in Colombia: 1920-1990. Jon Denton-Schneider (Clark University) - Colonial Institutions, Marriage Markets, and HIV: Evidence from Mozambique. 10:30-10:45 Short Coffee Break 10:45-12:00 Verónica Pérez (Columbia U -Uniandes) - The effect of industrialization on political dynasties: Evidence from Colombian local governments. Andrés Martignano (U of Nottingham) - Mass Migrations in Argentina: A Study on the Effects of Migrants on Electoral Outcomes. 12:00-13:30 James Torres (Uniandes) - The Mechanics of the Alcabalas: Reform, Local Bargaining, and Dwindling Taxation in Bourbon New Granada, 1750-1810. Felipe Valencia (UCB) - Bourbon Reforms and State Capacity in the Spanish Empire. 13:30-15:45 Lunch cum Football World Cup Semifinals 15:45-17:15 Xavier Durán (Uniandes) - Why (not to) Use the Wheel? A new hypothesis and evidence from the Cambao Wagon Road in the Nineteenth Century Colombian Andes. César Huaroto (PUC Chile) - The Legacy of Resistance. Evidence from the Chilean Invasion of Peru in the XIX Century. 17:15-17:30 Closing conversation: guided by Luís Bertola. 18:00 Guided visit and cocktail at Museo del Oro

08:50 am

Universidad de los Andes - Universidad de los Andes

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XVI RIDGE Forums

Tendremos los workshops de International Macro, History, Towards Sustainable Growth, Trade and Macro Development e Industrial Organization http://www.ridge.uy/2022-december-forum/

08:00 am

Universidad de los Andes - Universidad de los Andes

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Seminario PePe (Políticas Públicas) - Clément Joubert

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic model of individuals and couples labor supply, savings, and retirement decisions to analyze how the design of Chiles privatized pension system and a reform undertaken in 2008 affect gender pension gaps and old-age poverty. Chile has one of the longest-running private retirements accounts systems in the world, which has served as a model for many countries. The paper estimates the dynamic model using pre-reform data and compares the models short-term forecasts with reduced form estimates of the reforms causal impacts. The model provides accurate forecasts, so it is used to evaluate how actual and counterfactual changes in the pension system design affect mens and womens labor supply and savings decisions, pension receipts, and program costs over a longer time horizon. The results show that three design features significantly reduce gender pension gaps: expanding minimum pension benefit eligibility, providing a per-child pension bonus, and increasing womens retirement age to be equal to mens. Overall, the 2008 pension reform largely achieved its goals of reducing gender gaps and old age poverty, although the new system costs double that of the old system.

12:30 pm

Universidad de los Andes - Vía Zoom

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Seminario CEDE - Rachid Laajaj

Farmers learning is a decisive driver of the process of technology adoption and dis-adoption, yet few studies take a close look at this process. To address this, we implemented a randomized control trial in Kenya where 10 farmers in each treated village participated in agronomic research trials, which gave them the opportunity to test new inputs in their own parcels during 3 rainy seasons. Drawing from detailed data collection on various forms of knowledge during 6 consecutive seasons, we take a deep dive into the learning process and differentiate it by the initial skill level of each farmer. We draw 10 lessons regarding how the treatment affected farmers beliefs, know-how, practices, input use, returns and the role of social connections in this process. The findings point to a costly and challenging learning given the multidimensionality of input and practices. Differences by skill level are large, in particular for complex things to learn such as the complementarity between different practices or the relative comparison between different inputs. The results are not always consistent with the standard learning models, hence we propose an alternative model which, although less tractable, better captures the complexity of learning about the potential returns and learning how to farm in a multi-dimensional decision environment.

12:30 pm

Universidad de los Andes - Salón W-101

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Medir el Capital Social | John Sudarsky

Entrada libre

03:00 pm

Universidad de los Andes - Sala 2, piso 6to del Edificio Franco

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Seminario CEDE - Yonas Alem

We identify the impact of the 2015-16 El-Nin?o-induced drought on the adoption of productivity-enhancing inputs and labor allocation of smallholder farmers in Ethiopia, one of the countries severely affected by the drought. The availability of nationally representative panel data collected before and after the drought on both the drought-affected and non-affected households allows the identification of the impact of the drought using difference-in-differences with propensity score matching. Contrary to the expectation, we find that the drought significantly increased the adoption of fertilizer and pesticides, but it reduced the adoption of improved seeds. We show that the primary mechanism that explains the increase in fertilizer and pesticide use is the reallocation of agricultural land from pulse cultivation to cereals, which is fertilizer and pesticide-intensive. We also find a considerable reduction in the allocation of household labor to own farming and a comparable increase in the share of labor allocated to productive safety net activities. Our findings have important implications on understanding the full cost of climate change on smallholder farmers and crafting appropriate adaptation strategies, because climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of El-Nin?os.

12:30 pm

Universidad de los Andes - Salón W-101

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Seminario PePe (Políticas Públicas) - Luis Eduardo Arango

El manejo del salario mínimo en Colombia tiene efectos adversos en los flujos del empleo: reduce la creación y aumenta la destrucción de puestos de trabajo; así mismo, aumenta la separación y reduce la contratación de trabajadores, todo lo cual conlleva pérdidas de empleo formal. Si bien hay efectos positivos en el ingreso de la mayoría de los hogares, se observan impactos negativos en los ingresos de las familias más pobres, que corresponden al primer cuantil; de igual forma, los aumentos del salario mínimo aumentan la probabilidad de estar por debajo de la línea de pobreza monetaria e, incluso, por debajo de la mitad de la línea de pobreza monetaria. Es decir, la implementación de la figura del salario mínimo en Colombia no está favoreciendo a los hogares más pobres. Aumenta la desigualdad de los hogares y del grupo de trabajadores ocupados, aunque para algunos subgrupos de ocupados el coeficiente Gini, disminuye. También se observan respuestas significativas que implican aumentos en los precios y la inflación como resultado del incremento del salario mínimo. Los modelos de equilibrio general reportan resultados adversos en consumo total y bienestar de los trabajadores, en la informalidad laboral, inversión, producción y en las cuentas fiscales, afectadas por cuenta de las pensiones del régimen de prima media, la salud, la nómina y el menor recaudo de impuestos, tanto en el corto como en el largo plazos, producto de la informalidad laboral que afecta, a su vez, las cuentas de la salud y los programas de protección a la vejez. Aunque el salario mínimo tiene entre sus propósitos contribuir con la reducción de la pobreza y la desigualdad, no parece estar lográndolo. Así las cosas, mediante un dialogo amplio y bien estructurado, el país debería modificar la implementación de la política de salario mínimo y rediseñar la formación para el trabajo de forma que nos permita incrementar la productividad laboral y, así, reducir la relación del salario mínimo al salario mediano del 90% que hoy tenemos, al promedio de los países de la OECD que es del 50%.

12:30 pm

Universidad de los Andes - Salón W-101