Documento CEDE 2024-42
Impacto del precio del petróleo en la estructura productiva de la economía Hondureña
Tejeda, Merit
Impacto del precio del petróleo en la estructura productiva de la economía Hondureña
Tejeda, Merit
This paper shows that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty generate poverty traps. A theoretical framework is developed to show that: i) probability weighting and ambiguity attitudes can lead individuals to systematically undervalue profitable investments, and ii) poverty exacerbates the consequences of these investment errors. The model predicts that poverty persists because these biases disproportionately discourage investment among poor individuals, while rich individuals continue to invest regardless.