This paper uses a dynamic Roy model and data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 to analyze the decision to pursue two-year or four-year college choices and estimate their associated net value. In this model, the net value varies across three dimensions of abilities: cognitive, socio-emotional, and mechanical, which are estimated using a measurement system. I focus on characterizing the average individual who would conclude that there was a schooling path different from the one she chose that would have led to higher net value.

La estructura de la Educación Técnica y tecnológica en Colombia, ha permitido avances en el acceso de los jóvenes a este tipo de formación, sin embargo, todavía sigue siendo un tipo de educación poco valorada que la hace caer en un círculo vicioso donde la mala calidad de la oferta educativa, hace que los salarios de los egresados sean bajos y por tanto, esta formación no sea demandada en mayor grado que la educación universitaria. Pero esto tiene unos efectos en el desencuentro entre la educación y las necesidades del mercado laboral. 

Todas las bases de datos tienen sesgos y limitaciones. Eso quiere decir que los análisis de esas bases de datos no hablan de la realidad del mundo, solo cuentan lo que se registró. Formular políticas públicas basadas únicamente en la información observada en bases de datos datos, sin reconocer el subregistro, implica un supuesto muy fuerte: el azar es el único factor que influye en que un dato se registre y otro no. Esto no es cierto en la mayoría de los casos. En vez de eso, es muy probable que haya razones estructurales que influyan en la probabilidad de registro.

Este seminario abordará los resultados de la primera ola de la Encuesta Panel para Niños, Niñas y Adolescentes Venezolanos (VenRePs-Kids), un estudio longitudinal que incluye a 3,100 niños, niñas y adolescentes venezolanos y colombianos en Medellín, una de las ciudades Colombianas con uno de los mayores flujos de migración venezolana.

This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on wage inequality in developing economies. We study a new mechanism that may amplify or lessen the inequality effect of trade. In particular, we include different degrees of substitutability between labor and intermediate inputs across sectors into a dynamic quantitative trade model. We use administrative data from Colombia and exploit exogenous tariff variation to estimate the key elasticities of the model through an indirect inference approach.

Low trust in state actors constrains state capacity, hindering growth and development. This paper studies how state actors can build public trust by improving the quality of their interactions with citizens. First, we propose a mechanism that links improved interactions to public trust—the belief that the state actor implements welfare-enhancing policies: improved interactions lower the expected burden of engaging with the state actor, promoting cooperation, motivating citizens to believe that cooperation is worthwhile, and increasing trust in the state actor.

The global health crisis has disrupted economic activities and posed significant challenges to fisheries management and enforcement. In this paper, I examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on property rights in the context of unauthorized fishing activity. This study investigates to what extent the pandemic has led to an increase in unauthorized fishing, potentially undermining existing property rights systems.

We study state modernization and its fiscal and political consequences in the Spanish empire in the Americas in the 18th century. We focus on the intendancy system, which introduced a new corps of provincial governors to address misgovernance by local colonial officers. Our empirical strategy leverages the staggered implementation of this reform across the empire, extending from present-day Mexico to Argentina.