Seminario CEDE - Facundo Sepúlveda

We study the life cycle pattern of job displacement, including wage losses and displacement risk, in an Overlapping Generations economy with a frictionless labor market. In our model, finitely lived worker-firm pairs accumulate both firm specific and general human capital. Competition for zero tenure workers and the non contractible nature of specific capital implies that wages are higher than productivity for newly tenured workers, and lower for those with longer tenure. In the life cycle, the expected value of the firm is then hump shaped, so displacement risk is naturally u-shaped, as in the data. Our model provides novel insights regarding the empirical relationships between tenure, age, and both displacement risk and post displacement wage loss. While most of the literature uses a framework based on search frictions to study job displacement, our results suggest that the non contractible nature of specific human capital can, by itself, explain most of the empirical regularities under study.